4/26 Edited to

... Read moreFrom following various reports and polls, including leaked internal surveys from 2025, it’s clear that dissatisfaction with Iran’s ruling system runs deep among the population. What stands out is the extremely high percentage — estimated between 80% to 92% — of Iranians who do not support the IRGC (Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps), a powerful faction within the regime. The widespread rejection is not limited to specific officials but extends to the core leadership, including Supreme Leader Khamenei. Many analysts interpret this data as reflecting years of political repression, economic hardship, and social unrest that have fueled popular discontent. Polls indicate that only about 15% to 20% of Iranians desire the continuation of the Islamic Republic in its current form, while a majority support either regime change or major political transformation. This sentiment is further underscored by strong support (around 70% or more) for designating the IRGC as a terrorist organization, both within Iran and among international actors. What struck me personally while researching this topic was the challenge of accurately gauging public opinion in a country where oppression and surveillance curtail free expression. Anonymous online polls like those conducted by GAMAAN have helped reveal these hidden truths, as people feel safer to voice dissent digitally. However, the margin of self-censorship and fear still complicates direct assessment. The deteriorating confidence in the regime and its military wing has important implications for both Iran’s internal politics and regional stability. These figures highlight a growing divide between the government and its people, which can influence protests, reforms, or even shifts in leadership. For those interested in Middle Eastern geopolitics or human rights, understanding these nuanced sentiments is crucial. In summary, the latest polls and expert analyses present a clear picture: a vast majority of Iranians are disillusioned with the current regime and the IRGC’s role. This growing dissent shows how public opinion can sharply contrast with official narratives and emphasizes the importance of transparent polling methods and anonymous data collection to understand true social dynamics inside Iran.

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