Hot as rehearsing to hell..
In recent days, information has been shared about the possibility that Bangkok may face heats of up to 54 degrees Celsius in 2027, from the impact of the "Super El Niño" phenomenon to such a concern for many citizens, especially as Thailand has just undergone a summer of high temperatures and constant weather extremes.
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The data comes from the release of Dr Chai Su Pratit, director of the Center for Climate Change and Disaster, Ranges University, which states that the world's leading climate forecasting agencies, NOAA of the United States, JMA of Japan and APCC of South Korea, estimate in the same direction that the world has entered El Niño's influence and that there is a 60% chance of developing into a severe El Niño, known as "Super El Niño."
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However, the 54 degrees Celsius figure mentioned is not the actual air temperature measured by the thermometer, but the heat index, or Heat Index, calculated by air temperature with relative humidity, to reflect how much heat the human body feels in that climate. If the temperature is high and the humidity in the air is great, the body will be difficult to cool, making it feel many degrees hotter than the actual temperature.
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According to estimates, if the Super El Niño occurs, the thermal effects may be evident in Thailand from March to April 2027, as the El Niño phenomenon usually has a lag period, or Lag, about 3-6 months after the peak ocean temperature. Bangkok may have a true air temperature of 39-41 degrees Celsius, but combined with the humidity, the Heat Index can hit 50-54 degrees Celsius.
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Such heat levels are considered harmful to health, especially vulnerable groups such as the elderly, young children, people with congenital diseases, and outdoor workers, because they may increase the likelihood of heat stroke or Heat Stroke. They may also affect electrical systems from the use of many concurrent air conditioners, including agriculture and water management, because extreme heat speeds water evaporation and increases drought risk.
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Although it is not yet possible to confirm whether Bangkok will actually have a Heat Index of 54 degrees Celsius because it is forward-looking from climate models, the data is a key warning for Thailand to be prepared to deal with extreme weather conditions in public health, energy systems, water resources and economic sectors that may be affected in 2027.
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Source: Dr. Frei Sarabha
