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The new government, do you understand? Not too far away, short-term, long-term policies are going to hurt themselves.

🧩 20 years of simulated scenes, "If Thailand doesn't adjust anything,"

Not a sudden catastrophic picture.

It is a quiet change of power.

⏳ Phase 1: Years 1-5

"Stay comfortable - money in - see no problem."

Foreigners, long-term residence, continuous increase

Have grandchildren attend Thai school

Use the public health-infrastructure system.

Some economies look good.

📌 Society is not resistant.

Because it still doesn't feel like losing anything directly

⏳ Phase 2: Years 6-10

"State costs rise - sound starts to sound."

Education / public health statements rush

Thai people at the lower levels began to feel competitive resources.

Initial demands:

Permanent rights

Some level of political rights

Participation sets policy.

📌 Who's talking about "sovereign lines"?

→ Stigmatized as "not open / racist"

⏳ Phase 3: Years 11-15

"State weakens - homeowners are getting at a disadvantage."

Cumulative budget burden

Some Thai children are still out of the system, but the state extends the rights to residents.

Identity conflicts became apparent.

Politics breaks into 2 poles:

Super liberal.

Protect sovereignty

📌 the government is afraid of friction.

Dare not decide anything

⏳ Phase 4: Years 16-20

"The country lives, but not fully owned by the original owner."

Thai people with capital → move out

Thai people who are → competing harder

The law was adjusted to reduce resistance rather than primary treatment.

The state becomes an "area manager," not a direction maker.

📌 The country doesn't fall.

But it's not a country where Thais can fully shape the future.

@ Na took to do ™💛👑❤🇹🇭 @ Na took to do ™💛👑❤🇹🇭 @ Na took to do ™💛👑❤🇹🇭

2/1 Edited to

... Read moreจากประสบการณ์ส่วนตัวและการติดตามสถานการณ์การเมือง พบว่าประเด็นเรื่องสิทธิต่างด้าวและผลกระทบต่อสังคมไทยเป็นเรื่องที่รัฐบาลใหม่จำเป็นต้องให้ความสำคัญอย่างยิ่ง นโยบายระยะสั้นที่เน้นเฉพาะการแก้ไขปัญหาเฉพาะหน้าและละเลยการวางแผนระยะยาว อาจนำไปสู่ความเสียหายที่ไม่สามารถย้อนกลับได้ในอนาคต หนึ่งในปัญหาที่มักถูกมองข้ามคือเรื่องของสิทธิและความเท่าเทียมระหว่างคนไทยกับคนต่างด้าว หากการให้สิทธิเกินขอบเขตมากจนทำให้ประชาชนไทยรู้สึกถูกลดทอนสิทธิ์ในบางเรื่อง เช่น สิทธิศึกษา สิทธิสุขภาพ รวมถึงโอกาสทางเศรษฐกิจ จะมีผลให้เกิดความขัดแย้งทางสังคมและความไม่พอใจในหมู่คนไทย โดยเฉพาะเรื่องที่เห็นได้ชัดเจน คือเรื่องสิทธิ‘ความเท่าเทียมต่างด้าว’ ถ้าทําให้อยู่เหนือคนไทยได้ "คำว่าเมตตาและสิทธิมนุษยชน" จนคนไทยรู้สึกอึดอัดหรือไม่ได้รับความยุติธรรม จะเกิดแรงต้านในสังคมและมีผลต่ออำนาจอธิปไตยที่รัฐควรจะเป็นผู้กำหนดทิศทางและนโยบาย ในแง่ของการบริหารงบประมาณ รัฐบาลต้องประเมินภาระที่เพิ่มขึ้นและคิดถึงความยั่งยืน เช่น งบการศึกษาและสาธารณสุขที่อาจสูงขึ้นอย่างรวดเร็วหากไม่มีการบริหารจัดการที่เหมาะสม รวมถึงการกำหนดกฎหมายและนโยบายที่ช่วยรักษาสมดุลระหว่างคนไทยและผู้อยู่อาศัยถาวรหรือชั่วคราว นอกจากนี้ยังควรมีการเปิดรับความเห็นของประชาชนในวงกว้าง เพื่อให้สังคมรู้สึกมีส่วนร่วมและเข้าใจนโยบายของรัฐมากขึ้น ซึ่งจะช่วยลดปัญหาความขัดแย้งทางเชิงอัตลักษณ์และการเมืองที่แตกเป็นสองขั้ว เมื่อมีแรงต้านที่เหมาะสม รัฐบาลจะไม่กลัวในการตัดสินใจที่เด็ดขาดและถูกต้อง การมองไปยังอนาคตระยะยาวเป็นเรื่องสำคัญที่รัฐบาลใหม่ต้องขบคิด เพราะหากไม่ปรับตัวและตั้งใจวางรากฐานให้มั่นคง ประเทศจะยังอยู่ได้ แต่สภาพจะกลายเป็นไม่ใช่ของเจ้าของเดิมหรือคนไทยเต็มที่ คนคุณภาพสูงหรือมีทุนทรัพย์อาจย้ายออกไป และผู้คนที่อยู่จะต้องแข่งขันกันอย่างหนักขึ้นในทรัพยากรที่จำกัด ท้ายที่สุด การเป็น "ผู้จัดการพื้นที่" แทนที่จะเป็นผู้กำหนดนโยบายหลักนั้น อาจทำให้ประเทศไทยสูญเสียอำนาจในการกำหนดทิศทางอนาคตของตนเองอย่างแท้จริง ดังนั้น รัฐบาลใหม่ต้องไม่มองข้ามปัญหาเหล่านี้ และควรวางแผนระยะยาวควบคู่กับการแก้ไขปัญหาระยะสั้น เพื่อสร้างความมั่นคงและความยั่งยืนให้ประเทศในอนาคต

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