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One of the professors mentioned America.

This teacher predicted that Trump would invade Iran before Trump became president. (This video is almost 2 years ago)

Explain Trump's excuse as teaching history before it happened.

But many of the other things you expected were horrible.

- The first invasion will be a landslide with sea and air superiority, creating a landslide win, but

- America can't close the game if it can't close it and America sends troops into Tehran. It will take a lot of troops. It's estimated that 4-5 million people are needed to control 90 million people, but the alliance has a hundred thousand soldiers (America 1 hundred thousand, Saudi 2 hundred thousand), which is not enough, and the Supply Chain is not enough.

- The mountainous terrain of Tehran will lock up Allied soldiers and can't leave. It's hard for America to send Supply in. Iran will surround it and cut off Supply.

Israel and the Saus have a goal unlike America, they want to be Dominant Power in the Middle East, and they will have that, but...

- Iran will be a Blackhole, sucking up America's resources.

- Trump will threaten with nuclear weapons, Iran opens the way for troops to come out (Trump's ultimate card)

- Iran will ask Putin to help.

- Putin will threaten to use nukes against anyone who uses nukes. Come out as a picture of Hero born as a Nuclear Free Zone. Trump can't shoot nukes. American soldiers and allies are trapped next.

- The result is that the war will drag on long and will be similar to the Vietnam War.

- So the way America is going to lose is for Iran to lure America into sending infantry, surround it with mountains and cut off Supply. This is where the video title Iran Trap comes from.

- Israel and Saudi wanted America to send soldiers for their own sake.

A lot of details. You use game theory to explain it.

3/3 Edited to

... Read moreการวิเคราะห์สถานการณ์ความตึงเครียดระหว่างสหรัฐฯ กับอิหร่านในมุมของทฤษฎีเกมนั้น ให้ภาพที่ลึกซึ้งและหลากหลายกว่าที่เราเห็นตามข่าวในช่วงหลายปีที่ผ่านมา จากประสบการณ์ส่วนตัวที่ติดตามข่าวสารเกี่ยวกับการเมืองระหว่างประเทศมาโดยตลอด ผมเห็นว่าการวางแผนและหมากเกมสงครามของอเมริกาไม่ใช่เรื่องง่าย เพราะภูมิประเทศของอิหร่านที่เป็นภูเขาล้อมรอบซับซ้อนมาก ยิ่งทำให้การนำกองทัพสหรัฐฯ เข้าไปตั้งมั่นในเตหะราน ต้องเผชิญกับปัญหามากมายทั้งเรื่อง Supply Chain และจำนวนทหารที่ต้องใช้มากกว่าที่เคยสงสัย นอกจากนี้ ความแตกต่างในเป้าหมายของพันธมิตรอย่างอิสราเอลและซาอุดิอาระเบีย ก็สะท้อนว่าผลประโยชน์ทางภูมิรัฐศาสตร์ไม่ตรงกันทั้งหมด ซึ่งนำไปสู่การใช้โอกาสต่าง ๆ เพื่อเสริมอำนาจตนเอง ในขณะที่อิหร่านเองก็ไม่ได้ยืนนิ่งเฉย ปรากฏว่ามีทั้งการขอความช่วยเหลือจากรัสเซียรวมถึงการใช้ความหวาดกลัวอาวุธนิวเคลียร์เป็นตัวเอาเปรียบทางการทูต การเปรียบเทียบสถานการณ์นี้กับสงครามเวียดนามทำให้เห็นภาพความล้มเหลวและความไร้ทางออก ถ้าอเมริกาติดกับดักนี้จริงๆ สงครามอาจยืดเยื้อและกินทรัพยากรอย่างมหาศาลโดยไม่มีทางจบที่ชัดเจน ส่วนตัวแล้ว ผมมองว่าวิดีโอนี้เปิดมุมมองใหม่ที่ทำให้เราเข้าใจความซับซ้อนของความขัดแย้งในตะวันออกกลางมากขึ้น ผ่านกรอบการวิเคราะห์ที่เรียกได้ว่า “โคตรเทพ” อย่างทฤษฎีเกม ซึ่งช่วยเพิ่มความลึกของความเข้าใจและเตือนใจเราถึงอันตรายของสงครามที่อาจเกิดขึ้นโดยไม่จำเป็น สำหรับใครที่สนใจประวัติศาสตร์การเมืองและยุทธศาสตร์ระหว่างประเทศ การดูวิดีโอนี้และอ่านบทวิเคราะห์จะช่วยเพิ่มพูนความรู้และมุมมองที่รอบด้านยิ่งขึ้นจริงๆ

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