Our Chagos Islands analysis asked whether purchasing another nation's territory crossed a line. Our Philippines analysis examined whether American security guarantees inevitably come with strategic constraints. Our China series explored the selective application of international norms. Our ICC

While the world was watching Iran and the NATO summit this week, a CNN report confirmed something that should be generating far more attention than it is receiving. The United States military's most critical missile stockpiles are significantly depleted, replenishment is measured in years, not

On Friday, senior US officials demanded that Iran's leadership publicly state that ship traffic in the Strait of Hormuz has been fully restored and that Iranian forces will stop attacking ships. Moments before those officials spoke, Iran's diplomat at the United Nations told reporters that

On Wednesday, July 8, at a press conference in Ankara alongside NATO Secretary General Mark Rutte, US President Donald Trump said the following about Spain, a founding member of the NATO alliance: "Spain is a terrible partner in NATO. They don't participate. They don't pay. I don't

The Iran deal is over. Not quietly. Not through a diplomatic statement. Trump declared it dead from the floor of a NATO summit in Ankara, Turkey, while standing next to the alliance's Secretary General, having ordered strikes on Iran from a dinner table at a Turkish presidential palace hours ea

On Tuesday, July 7, Iran struck three commercial vessels in the Strait of Hormuz using the Omani coastal route that Iranian authorities have repeatedly warned ships not to use. A Qatari LNG tanker, a Saudi crude oil supertanker, and a third vessel were all hit by Iranian projectiles. One tanker cau

In the early hours of Monday, July 6, Russian missiles and drones struck Kyiv in a large-scale overnight barrage. At least nine people were killed and 46 wounded within the city limits. A further person was killed and ten injured in the surrounding Kyiv region. At least 15 residential buildings wer

Six days ago, we asked why President Trump was suddenly talking about Syria and Hezbollah. At the time, the comments raised an obvious question. Why was Washington publicly discussing a country whose military is still rebuilding after years of civil war, Israeli airstrikes, ISIS remnants, and enorm

On June 29, 2026, Acting Attorney General Todd Blanche sent a formal letter to ICC President Judge Tomoko Akane. The message was direct and unambiguous. The United States rejects any assertion of jurisdiction by the International Criminal Court over American citizens, anywhere in the world. The DOJ

President Trump took to Truth Social on Monday, declaring that Iran had requested a meeting and that it would take place in Doha the following day. Within hours, Iran's senior negotiator Kazem Gharibabadi pushed back directly, stating that reports of technical working group talks being held in

Four major outlets reported this story today. BBC said $1 trillion. Reuters said $576 billion. AP said $518 billion. CNBC confirmed $518 billion. Not one of them explained why their numbers were different. At The Codex Signal, we read the fine print so you do not have to. Here is the breakdown. The

China just expanded its export control offensive against Japan, adding 40 more entities to its blacklist. Mitsubishi, Fujitsu, Komatsu, and Mitsui are among the names now barred from receiving dual-use items from Chinese suppliers. Beijing's Commerce Ministry framed it as a response to Japan&#3

Trump has now doubled down twice on one of the most geopolitically reckless proposals to come out of Washington in recent memory. He wants Syria to march into Lebanon and do what Israel's military has spent months failing to accomplish: neutralize Hezbollah. The idea sounds bold. On closer exam

On Sunday, June 29, the United States and Iran agreed to halt strikes and return to negotiations. A senior US official confirmed both sides would stand down and that technical talks are slated to continue on all areas of the MOU, with vessels now able to move freely. The two sides plan to meet on T

Three days of mutual strikes between the US and Iran. The 60-day diplomatic window is under existential threat. The Strait of Hormuz is back in the headlines. And the question nobody in mainstream media is asking directly. Who authorized the IMO Omani route on June 24? And did they understand what