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Melissa is on its way to becoming a major hurrican

Tropical Storm #Melissa 's pace of intensification remained moderate overnight. With deep convection now fully wrapping upshear (northwest side), and a well-defined max wind ring now present at small radii in all quadrants, Melissa could begin intensifying more quickly today or tonight.

If Melissa has a chance to be held back from rapid intensification, it would be due to moderate vertical shear which has not disappeared, and could periodically disrupt the inner core through forcing dry entrainment into the circulation. Strengthening into a major hurricane is the baseline expectation, though.

2025/10/25 Edited to

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