Why do unexpected reasons like to happen when not careful?

Have you ever noticed that when we carry a platoon in our pocket, it doesn't rain back, but when we forget to take it, it pours down immediately, or when we focus on driving well, nothing happens. But when we accidentally turn to pick up the item for a second, the front car suddenly brakes back.

In science, psychology and philosophy, many theories are described, divided into the following:

# # # 1.Murphy's Law

If sarcastic or fateful, the loudest theory is * * Murphy's Law * * with the classic sentence * "Anything that can go wrong will go wrong" (anything that can go wrong, it will definitely go wrong) *

This rule says that if there is a small chance that something bad will happen, and it will happen when we are not ready or not careful, we will feel, "Why are you born now?" In fact, it is a matter of probability that one day will happen.

# # # 2.Recognition bias (Confirmation Bias)

Psychologically, this behavior is described by "memory bias."

* * * When we are not careful about the incident: * * Our brain is shocked and violent emotions (e.g. angry, hurt, frustrated) cause the brain to record this event accurately.

* * * When we are not careful but "survive": * * Which is actually very frequent, such as walking poop but not stumbling, driving accidentally, but there is no car that day, but because nothing happens, the brain erases the information and does not remember.

When we counted only the "missed" episodes, we felt that bad things always come when we accidentally * when they actually come according to their normal statistics.

# # # 3.Blind because of not focusing (Inattentional Blindness)

Sometimes it doesn't "choose" when we're not careful, but it happens normally, just * * because we're not careful, so we can't see the warning before we realize it's a collision with us.

For example, if we drive hard, we will see the braking light of the front car early and slow down, but if we are distraught, we will not see the warning light until the car almost hits, so we just feel like "suddenly the front car brakes" (when he has been braking for a while).

# # # 4.Swiss Cheese Model Theory

This theory is often used in safety and risk management, comparing mistakes like holes on a Swiss cheese plate. Usually in life, we have multiple layers of "shields" (like multiple sheets of cheese stacked).

* Sheet 1: Safe environment

* Sheet 2: Ready Equipment

* Sheet 3: Ourselves Be Careful

Any day when the environment is bad, the device is broken, but if * * "we are still careful" * *, this last armor will block the evil, but whenever we * * "accidentally or uncarefully" * *, all the holes of the cheese will match, causing an accident or unexpected incident to break through.

> * * The simple conclusion is: * * The evil does not choose the time of birth, but the day when we are "careful," we can handle it or avoid it so that we do not feel it is a problem, but instead the word "almost" *. And the day when we are "not careful," we will lose the opportunity to prevent it, so we have to take the full impact of the incident.

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